Most of The Saltmen’s main promotion rivals were in action this weekend. It left me wondering what the Spa still have to do to secure promotion. So after driving down to Portishead (the place, not the band!) to comb the beach for sea glass, I decided I would try to work it out when I got home.

Now, please bear in mind that I have never professed to be a mathematician or accountant but I did manage to persuade the Joint Matriculation Board that I was worth an ‘O’ Level in Maths. And I’m glad they did because hardly a day goes by without me needing algebra, logarithms and trigonometry. So, the following table should be accurate, but I can’t absolutely guarantee it.

No algebra required

The table above shows the clubs who could potentially pip Spa to the post. Your Saltmen have taken 61 points from 25 games played, with a goal difference of +53. They have 7 league games remaining which could yield another 21 points, but probably won’t.

If we are to accept the possibility that one or more teams may win all their remaining games we need to reach a points total nobody can match.

The team with most potential points to win from their remaining games is Redditch Borough. They have 11 games still to play which theoretically could leave them with a final haul of 74. Abingdon come next with a potential total of 73, Stonehouse could reach 70 and… well you get the idea.

As of now, to guarantee winning the league outright Droitwich have to take 14 more points from their last 7 games. This would give a total points tally of 75.

In reality, the likelihood of any of the sides winning all their remaining games is pretty slight but if the Saltmen can win 5 out of their last 7, nobody could stop them taking the title. I suspect 70 points would probably be enough.

See you at Wellington on Tuesday.

Cheers

Steve

#UTS

#NATIONOFSALTMEN

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